Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1.346146 1.525568 1.721997 1.953331 2.218731 2.514170 2.868638
2025-12-07 1.084650 1.322574 1.604372 1.964046 2.412767 2.956514 3.668963
2025-12-14 0.890969 1.151920 1.481179 1.929873 2.529653 3.309666 4.410554
2025-12-21 0.743677 1.009105 1.362060 1.870171 2.590185 3.584796 5.081620
2025-12-28 0.677189 0.959411 1.352773 1.947853 2.837176 4.135733 6.210015
2026-01-04 0.618438 0.910031 1.333671 2.003436 3.053187 4.664648 7.382333
2026-01-11 0.567350 0.863686 1.310569 2.045826 3.249296 5.183492 8.613409
2026-01-18 0.520754 0.817471 1.280319 2.070074 3.415267 5.670923 9.862412
2026-01-25 0.469527 0.757455 1.220340 2.036363 3.477110 5.987750 10.856699
2026-02-01 0.415241 0.686237 1.133697 1.945789 3.426414 6.097409 11.481684
2026-02-08 0.374943 0.634062 1.072978 1.892112 3.432598 6.306423 12.322415
2026-02-15 0.342095 0.591256 1.023659 1.852399 3.457904 6.551306 13.267906
2026-02-22 0.328361 0.581968 1.034602 1.929358 3.723878 7.314983 15.456008
2026-03-01 0.308620 0.559897 1.020225 1.956891 3.897646 7.922935 17.430528
2026-03-08 0.283982 0.526211 0.980606 1.929918 3.956466 8.300600 18.959135
2026-03-15 0.258573 0.488517 0.929371 1.873102 3.944262 8.522498 20.162975
2026-03-22 0.250743 0.484178 0.942855 1.952191 4.238125 9.471527 23.334177
2026-03-29 0.241041 0.475066 0.945642 2.008463 4.488393 10.358891 26.531992
2026-04-05 0.230771 0.463734 0.942563 2.051207 4.713028 11.220111 29.842001
2026-04-12 0.219681 0.449591 0.932031 2.075626 4.897032 12.009636 33.122639
2026-04-19 0.204693 0.425750 0.898211 2.041859 4.932771 12.424510 35.409078
2026-04-26 0.186599 0.393582 0.843056 1.951038 4.811719 12.406264 36.392126
2026-05-03 0.172895 0.369936 0.804857 1.897212 4.779817 12.626231 38.166753